Monday numbers: A closer look at Super Tuesday totals, turnout and turnaround

Monday numbers: A closer look at Super Tuesday totals, turnout and turnaround

- in News, Top Story

Last week’s Super Tuesday primary vote seems likely to have gone a long way toward setting the tone for November’s general election contests—in North Carolina and around the country.

What’s more, breaking down some of the final numbers in the Democratic presidential primary provides an interesting snapshot of the North Carolina electorate—who turned out, their allegiances, how it all compared to 2016 and how quickly things shifted in the days leading up to the vote.

6,942,210 – Total number of registered voters in the state as of March 3, 2020

2,526,279– Number of registered Democrats

2,075,680 – Number of registered Republicans

2,148,971 – North Carolina ballots cast in Super Tuesday’s primary contests – about 31 percent of total eligible voters. That’s down from 2,323,590 in 2016 (about 36 percent of eligible voters), but to be expected as both parties held competitive presidential primaries in 2016 and this year only the Democrats did.

1,322,433 – Ballots cast in the Democratic presidential primary

That’s up from 1,142,916 in 2016. This year the Democratic field was—however briefly—deeper than it was in March of 2016, by which point only Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders were viable candidates garnering a double digit percentage of the vote.

This year, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard were still in the race alongside front-runners Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden, though Bloomberg and Warren would drop out shortly after Super Tuesday. South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Sen. Amy Klobuchar and Tom Steyer all got out of the race ahead of Tuesday’s primary, but still appeared on the ballot and received more than 84,000 votes between them. Other candidates who had withdrawn previously attracted a total of more than 10,000 votes.

At least 5 – Number of major polls that had Bernie Sanders leading or trailing by an amount within the margin of error during the week prior to Super Tuesday

11.4% – Share of voters who cast their ballots prior to Election Day

13.9% – Average amount by which Biden led in three polls conducted the weekend immediately prior to Super Tuesday

43% – The share of the Democratic primary vote won by Biden

24% – The share of the Democratic primary vote won by Sanders

13% – The share of the Democratic primary vote won by Bloomberg

10% – The share of the Democratic primary vote won by Warren

4 – The number of North Carolina’s 100 counties Sanders won on Tuesday. That’s down significantly from the 18 counties he won in 2016.

Apx. 27% – Share of North Carolina primary voters who were Black

Apx. 60% – Share of Black voters who supported Biden

14% – The share of voters in North Carolina’s Tuesday primaries who were in the 17-29 age demographic, according to exit polls. That’s down from 16 percent in 2016.

57% – of those 17-29-year-olds won by Sanders. That’s down from his 69 percent share of that demographic in 2016.

933 – The number Guilford County voters who cast early voting ballots in the primary despite not yet being 18. State law allows 17-year-olds to vote in a primary if they will be 18 by election day. Guilford County put up the largest number of high school senior aged students who voted in the primary – 20.5 percent of that demographic. The next highest was Wake County with 633 high school aged students voting early.

(Sources: N.C. Board of Elections, Real Clear Politics poll tracker, 538.com)